The $44B Doll You’ve Never Heard Of

Inside: the behavioral psychology behind Labubu’s rise and what it means for your brand.

Hello and welcome to the 176th edition of Fresh Salmon.

If you're new here, welcome aboard! 🧡
And if you’d like to catch up on past issues, click here.

The Billion-Dollar Toy You’ve Never Heard Of

There’s a $44B Chinese company exploding in value, and it’s built around an ugly-cute troll-like toy called Labubu. From Rihanna’s handbag to Blackpink’s obsession, Labubu is the new Beanie Baby + Pokémon + Stanley Cup rolled into one. Here's what this craze teaches us about mimetic virality, economic psychology, and building breakout brands from niche to mass.

Meet Labubu: The Ugly-Cute Doll That Ate the Internet

A year ago, Pop Mart was a $7B company. Today? $44B.

And the reason? A goblin-toothed, big-eyed doll named Labubu - a character from an artist in the Netherlands, brought to life by Chinese toy giant Pop Mart.

The formula? Blind box + luxury clippable keychain + mimetic desire + TikTok + celebrity endorsement. It’s the new age Beanie Baby. It’s weird, irrational, and totally unstoppable.

What’s Really Going On Here?

Let’s break down why this actually happened:

  1. Lipstick Effect:
    In uncertain economic times, people trade big luxuries for small indulgences.
    Can’t buy the Chanel bag? Buy the $25 collectible to clip onto it.

  2. Blind Box Economics (aka Gotcha Games):
    You don’t know what doll you’ll get. It’s Pokémon cards meets dopamine loops.

  3. Celebrity Endorsements by Accident:
    Lisa from Blackpink, Rihanna, Kim K, and Beckham were spotted with Labubus, not sponsored. That gave it cultural firepower.

  4. Mimetic Desire:
    The less available it is, the more people want it. The harder it is to get, the higher the price people will pay. Labubu = desire engine.

  5. Status Symbols Gone Kawaii:
    Add a loop. Clip it to your purse. Show it off. Instant flex.

  6. The "Ugly-Cute" Phenomenon:
    It’s not beautiful. It’s unsettling and cute at the same time. Think Gremlins. Think viral.

  7. Lollapalooza Effect (Munger):
    It’s not one factor. It’s all the above - stacked and amplified.

A Playbook for Mimetic Products

Labubu isn’t an accident. It’s a case study in viral product mechanics:

  • Start with niche weirdness: “Ugly-cute” isn’t mass-market at first. It’s a cult.

  • Make it collectible: Blind box or surprise pack = more repeat purchases.

  • Design for portability + social signaling: That keychain loop changed everything.

  • Seed it in culture: No ad dollars. Just a few celebrities with an irrational obsession.

  • Don’t just go viral - go mimetic: Create desire by making others want what someone else already has.

So What? Why Should You Care?

Because if a little troll-looking doll can go from $0 to $700M/year in revenue, so can your weird idea.

What matters is not just having a good product.
What matters is making people feel something about it.

Labubu teaches us that emotional irrationality scales faster than utility. And if you can package status, identity, and luck in one object - boom!

Thought Experiment: What’s Your Labubu?

Ask yourself:

  • What’s something your customers irrationally want to signal?

  • Can your product become a story someone wants to wear, share, or flex?

  • Could your product be ugly-cute, weirdly functional, or collectible?

It’s 2025. Weird wins.

The Hype Will Die

Like all collectible bubbles, Labubu will burst.

  • Cabbage Patch: 2-year peak

  • Beanie Babies: 3-year peak

  • Pokémon: 2 mega-peaks, decades apart

  • Stanley Cups: already plateauing

Pop Mart’s stock? Probably worth shorting in late 2026.

But until then, it’s a case study in viral brand mechanics that founders and marketers shouldn’t ignore.

Interesting Thing That I Read This Week

That’s it for this week! If you found this newsletter valuable, share it with a friend.

See you next time!

Do what is good for your soul ❤️

All the best,

Vivek

PS. Whenever you are ready, here are 3 ways in which I can help you and your business:

#1: B2B Marketing Consulting and Go-To-Market Advisory for your business.

#2: 1-on-1 Personal Coaching and Mentoring on anything related to Marketing and Go-To-Market Strategies for you.

#3: Promoting you or your brand via this newsletter.

For any of these things just shoot me a reply, and we will arrange a time to chat.